About the speakers – An Interesting Day

November 13, 2016 23:06

This “An Interesting Day” is al about Futurists for Futurists. DFS Members present their own work to others from the community and there is plenty of opportunity to exchange thoughts, but there are also keynotes by renowned names in the field. Read all about the sessions that are featured throughout the day! (Haven’t got a ticket yet? You can register here.)

Morning Pogram – Keynotes

_20160802_160606The Role of Superforecasting in the 21st Century – Regina Joseph (Sibylink)

Superforecaster and Sibylink founder Regina Joseph will discuss the key skills required for modernizing long-term strategic planning and methods. Improved strategic foresight techniques and training can deliver greater accuracy in forecasting event outcomes. Joseph will address how to mainstream forecasting and how to popularize it among organizational leaders

Predicting the future with the blockchain? – Maurits Kreijveld (Wisdom of the Crowd)

maurits_kreijveldPrediction markets could be used as a forecasting tool by letting individuals trade shares in the outcome of real-life events. This provides a means to harness the wisdom of the crowd: i.e. that under certain conditions, the aggregate of informed opinions is more accurate than the best estimates of experts. Blockchain technology can enable decentralized prediction markets and therefore make them more reliable. Several companies are developing this kind of applications.

In his workshop, Maurits Kreijveld will present the latest developments and have a discussion on the use of these technologies for forecasting. How could a forecasting tool based on prediction markets be designed? What applications can be foreseen? Under what conditions should it operate to be as accurate as possible? 

Maurits Kreijveld is a futurist on Wisdom of the Crowd.

Afternoon Program – Keynote & Workshop

imageCRISPR-CAS9: The transformative impact of gene editing – Stan Brouns (Brounslab)

In his presentation, Stan Brouns will highlight how fundamental research into the biology of CRISPR immune systems in Bacteria has led to revolutionairy new tools in molecular biology. These new tools have begun to transform the future of human genetic disease, biotechnology and genetic research worldwide.

Afternoon Program – Parallel Sessions

Future Probing – Slava Koslov (Summ()n)

aaeaaqaaaaaaaahmaaaajdqwm2zjmgq3ltjimgmtnduwns1immi2ltyzyjfhndvmyjhjoqFuture Probing is an innovative approach that helps companies and organizations to explore the possible futures more proactively, and to convert the results of these explorations into business opportunities already today. During the An Interesting Day, Summ()n will present the main concepts and tools of the Future Probing method: what is a ‘signal of the future’, how to gather and interpret these signals, and how to create ‘future probes’, to both validate your ideas about possible futures and to ‘seed’ new prospects.

Summ()n will present a few examples (cases) of real ‘future probes’ developed and launched by different companies, to illustrate multiple benefits that can be gained during the process (but also discuss some ‘lessons learned’). They will also play a short demo version of Future Probing together with the participants. You will have a chance to experience all the main stages of the process: cross-analysis of the ‘future signals’, opening ‘future portals’, and then launching future probes. The hope is to demonstrate that even a short exercise can help you to sense the possible futures better, make more sense of these observations, and adapt to the new realities quicker

Publiek en de Toekomst: moeten we non-experts betrekken bij toekomstverkenningen? [Dutch] – Dhoya Snijders

aaeaaqaaaaaaaabzaaaajdg5zdcxzti5lta2ntgtndg3yy05ntrmltbjotyzztk5nwmymgExperts zijn niet noodzakelijk de beste toekomstverkenners, leren Tetlock en Gardner ons in het boek Superforecasting. In deze sessie gaan we aan de hand van de Nationale Toekomstmonitor 2016 in op deze stelling en vragen we wat de meerwaarde is van het betrekken van non-experts bij toekomstverkenningen. Op interactieve wijze houden we een discussie over methoden om een breder publiek te betrekken. De uitkomsten van deze discussie worden verwerkt in een miniverkenning die aan de deelnemers en online wordt gedeeld.

IMPACT – Hoe je meer invloed kunt uitoefenen op de toekomst [Dutch] – Peter van der Wel

peter-van-der-welSteeds meer mensen hebben het gevoel dat we met onze aarde een rampscenario volgen. Tegelijk menen ze dat zij daar nauwelijks invloed op kunnen uitoefenen. Dat laatste is een misvatting. Auteurs Peter van der Wel en Stefan Stroet laten in Impact zien dat ieder mens beschikt over het vermogen de loop van de wereldgeschiedenis te beïnvloeden. En in dit boek leggen ze ook uit hoe een ieder dat kan doen. Zij laten zien hoe je, met behulp van recente wetenschappelijke inzichten, optimaal invloed kunt uitoefenen – op de juiste plaatsen en op het juiste moment. Daarbij gebruiken ze nieuwe inzichten in gedrag, bewustzijn, vrije wil, de werking van netwerken, complexe adaptieve systemen en memen en laten zien hoe deze religies, staten, ondernemingen en andere organisaties beïnvloeden.

Science fiction prototyping & visual storytelling – Brave New World & 48 hour Film Project Films

BNWAt Brave New World festival, the Dutch Future Society supported the crews from 48 Hours film project in creating interesting storylines for their short films. Key themes were technology and bravery. The films will be presented at An Intereting Day and there will be a discussion with Floris Koot, from 48 Hours and Knowmads.

The Coming Insurrection and how it may Transform Expected Futures – Jaap van Till (The Connectivist)

c65edcdade80e59d28994e0657eefc66Times are a-changing. That means that we also have to change our views on the future to what might lead us in a constructive way through the major structural transitions. We can see that many national elections and referenda are signals of protest against the establishment powers. These have failed to see that many seemingly solid assumptions and policies are either false or do not work anymore: abundant raw materials, scarcity of information, hierarchies, upward movement in lower/ middle classes, neoliberal market mantras. The resulting ANGER and Insurrections have been averted by the elites by blaming “others”. The resulting wave of hatred and even open racism is similar to the popular fascist movements in the 1930’s after the Crash. We are now in the same position: after the Crash of 2008. The only alternative to endless hate and destruction is to start a wave of constructive interconnection and online ICT collaboration I call Synthecracy which can create value, wealth and jobs for the young.

Scenario based policy discussion OECD and EZ Energy Dialogue – Freija van Duijne

12122596_837591176360082_8368798926429889178_nThis year, Freija has been designing and organising a scenario based policy discussion for the National Energy Dialogue. Last year, she was with the Strategic foresight unit at the OECD to work on a scenario based policy discussion for the Ministerial Council Meeting. She will talk about her experience of scenario projects in these government organisations.

Early Warning Signals: Developing a 21st century methodology – Maja Bosch (Futureconsult)

photo_maja-boschEarly Warning Signals (EWS) indicate upcoming change: they show that current patterns are fragile, or they are the first signs of a new trend. EWS may prove to be game changers, impacting the course or strategy of an organization.

Many organisations have a method to ‘harvest’ EWS and explore the impact of these signals. However, these methodologies are often very network- or expert-driven, rather than making use of the power of big data. Futureconsult is currently developing a 21st century EWS methodology that includes both the implicit knowledge in networks and insights from big data analyses.

In this workshop, Maja Bosch wants to share and discuss some of their insights and hopes to inspire you to incorporate Early Warning Signals more in strategic discussions.

Maja Bosch is advisor at Futureconsult.

Teach the Future – Erica Bol (Teach the Future)

Jongeren gaan naar school om zich voor te bereiden op de toekomst. Daar leren zij over het verleden, het heden, maar de ‘toekomst’ komt niet specifiek aanbod. Waarom eigenlijk niet? Ondanks dat het lastig is om les te geven over iets wat nog niet bestaat, kunnen we jongeren wél expliciet vaardigheden aanleren die helpen met het voorbereiden op die toekomst. Hoe beter je voorbereid bent, hoe meer je richting kunt geven aan je eigen toekomst en die van de wereld om je heen.

Teach the Future organiseert een workshop over toekomst denken in de klas. Ze tonen een aantal praktische tools en lessen die je kunnen helpen toekomst denken in de klas te onderwijzen. En gaan daarnaast graag samen met je in gesprek over jouw ervaringen en de toekomst in de klas.

Help je ons toekomst denken in de klas te brengen? Samen kunnen we jongeren stimuleren de entrepreneur van hun eigen toekomst te laten zijn!

Teach the Future’s sessie tijdens An Interesting Day is ook los toegankelijk zónder een ticket voor de gehele dag. Zie hier voor meer informatie.

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